2001, ISBN: 0792368339

[EAN: 9780792368335], Neubuch, [SC: 0.0], [PU: Springer Netherlands], BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFT - BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFTSLEHRE; BEVÖLKERUNG / DEMOGRAPHIE; EPIDEMIOLOGIE; GESUNDHEITSWESEN; SOZIALWISS… Meer...

[EAN: 9780792368335], Neubuch, [SC: 0.0], [PU: Springer Netherlands], BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFT - BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFTSLEHRE; BEVÖLKERUNG / DEMOGRAPHIE; EPIDEMIOLOGIE; GESUNDHEITSWESEN; SOZIALWISSENSCHAFTEN; WISSENSCHAFT SOZIOLOGIE BEVÖLKERUNG, SIEDLUNG, STADT; AGEING; PUBLICHEALTH; EPIDEMIOLOGY; PUBLICHEALTHPOLICY; STATISTICS, Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. 338 pp. Englisch, Books<

ISBN: 9780792368335

[ED: Buch], [PU: Springer Netherlands], Neuware - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other p… Meer...

[ED: Buch], [PU: Springer Netherlands], Neuware - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.- Besorgungstitel - vorauss. Lieferzeit 3-5 Tage., DE, [SC: 2.70], Neuware, gewerbliches Angebot, 241x160x23 mm, 338, [GW: 673g], Banküberweisung, Offene Rechnung, Kreditkarte, PayPal, Offene Rechnung (Vorkasse vorbehalten), Internationaler Versand<

2001, ISBN: 9780792368335

Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective, Buch, Hardcover, Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health pol… Meer...

Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective, Buch, Hardcover, Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. [PU: Springer], Seiten: 306, Springer, 2001<

ISBN: 9780792368335

Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, thi… Meer...

Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. | Forecasting Mortality In Developed Countries by E. Tabeau Hardcover | Indigo Chapters Books > Social Science > Demography P10102, E. Tabeau<

ISBN: 9780792368335

Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, thi… Meer...

Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. Books > Social Sciences Hard cover, Springer Shop<